TrendLine Saskatchewan

 

TrendLine Saskatchewan - August 2021

While employment remains below 2019 levels, Saskatchewan has regained 56% of the job loss experienced in 2020.

Stephen Johnson

MA
Chief Economist

In July of 2021, Saskatchewan saw a year-over-year (July 2021 vs. July 2020) advance of 8,200 people re-entering the employment ranks. This follows a 27,800 year-over-year increase in June 2021. As a result, the average year-to-date employment is up by 2.8% or 15,029 positions in July 2021 over July 2020. Provincially, we have regained 56% of the 26,800 job loss experienced in 2020. However, total employment remains well behind 2019 levels. 

With valid comparisons now being made between pandemic-impacted months, all other major indicators are up, led by total exports (up 20.2% and led by agricultural, energy products, metal and non-metallic mineral products, and forestry products) and housing starts (up 33.7%, owing to low interest rates and high savings).

More significantly, the consumer has returned to the market with retail sales, restaurant receipts, and new motor vehicle sales up over the same period last year. Pressure on our economic growth continues to come from low industrial building permits, slow population growth, and a preponderance of part-time relative to full-time employment growth. The pressures, combined with potential inflationary pressures which could lead to higher borrowing rates, are potential black clouds on the horizon.

 

Composite Indicator Actual & Seasonally Adjusted

Key Indicator This Month

Employment

2.8%

July 2021 YTD

Employment

2.8%

July 2021 YTD

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This Issue's Economist:

Stephen Johnson

MA
Chief Economist

This Issue's Editor:


TrendLine Saskatchewan is published monthly by Praxis Consulting.