TrendLine Saskatchewan

 

TrendLine Saskatchewan - February 2021

Many major indicators remain in decline. Housing starts continue to advance owing to record low interest rates and looser mortgage stress tests.

Stephen Johnson

MA
Chief Economist

January 2021 saw a year-over-year (January 2021 vs. January 2020) decline in the number of employed by -24,800. While this represents a relative slowing in job losses compared to previous months, which noted a record -76,300 decline in April 2020 (vs. April 2019), pandemic-related job losses are expected to continue into the first two quarters of 2021.

Most other major indicators remained in decline: non-residential building permits, retail trade, manufacturing sales, new motor vehicles sales, and restaurant receipts. The only exceptions were total exports (up 2.5% and led by agricultural products), wholesale trade (up marginally), net international exports, residential building permits, and housing starts owing to record low interest rates and loosening of mortgage stress tests.

Total average year-to-date employment in Saskatchewan was down by -4.4% or -24,800 positions in January 2021 over the same period in 2020.

Composite Indicator Actual & Seasonally Adjusted

Key Indicator This Month

Employment

4.4%

January 2021 YTD

Employment

4.4%

January 2021 YTD

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This Issue's Economist:

Stephen Johnson

MA
Chief Economist

This Issue's Editor:


TrendLine Saskatchewan is published monthly by Praxis Consulting.