TrendLine Saskatchewan

 

TrendLine Saskatchewan - May 2020

While the impact of the pandemic is not yet apparent across all indicators, collapsing employment numbers offer insight into what's to come...

Stephen Johnson

MA
Chief Economist

In the first 2 months of 2020, the number of those employed in the province continued to advance. Data for March, however, saw a pandemic-impacted drop in the number of employed by 21,200 (March 2020 vs. March 2019) followed by a 76,300 decline (April 2020 vs. April 2019). Average year-to-date employment was down 21,500 from the same period in 2019 to 447,900.

Although much of this data represented a bounce back from a dismal 2019, in the pre-pandemic early months of 2020, a number of indicators posted solid increases over the same period in 2019: retail trade, restaurant receipts, exports, housing starts, building permits, and motor vehicle sales. This is very unlikely to continue throughout 2020 as the true nature of the collapse in employment is felt through declining consumer demand.

Composite Indicator Actual & Seasonally Adjusted

Key Indicator This Month

Employment

21,500 positions

April 2020 YTD

Employment

21,500 positions

April 2020 YTD

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This Issue's Economist:

Stephen Johnson

MA
Chief Economist

This Issue's Editor:


TrendLine Saskatchewan is published monthly by Praxis Consulting.